- Kingboard Holdings (148 HK) has rallied 24% from its end-of-March trough, closing at HK$40.34 on Tuesday — already above the P75 profit target (HK$37.85) but momentum still intact.
- Our model’s historical analogues suggest week 3–4 carries peak reversal risk; at week 2, the bull case toward HK$43–45 remains alive but increasingly fragile.
- Risk/Reward is shifting: our model favours fading the rally at current levels unless passive flow from the 1888 HK index inclusion drives further upside.
- S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) will see National Storage REIT (NSR AU) deleted and Alkane Resources (ALK AU) added on 21 April. Passive trackers moves ongoing, as reported by Brian Freitas
- Our model flagged the ASX200 as ‘overbought‘: up 3 weeks, and overextended, well into the “outliers” price targets zone. We think the index has topped.
- Downside targets are discussed in the insight, our model sees a bullish buy-the-dip pattern, a brief 1-2 weeks correction followed by higher prices.
- Fast Retailing (9983 JP) recently posted very good results, beating forecasts.
- On Friday the stock closed the week at 75,540. A very overbought position, according to our model. But the stock pulled back on Monday, this could turn into a buy-the-dip.
- This insight offers a tactical view on a possible sell short setup that came up after the recent strong move, but higher prices are needed to materialize it, this week.
- Weak price action in Pop Mart has coincided with notable options activity, particularly concentrated in short-dated Puts over recent trading sessions.
- The reaction of implied vols has been somewhat unusual and volume has been highly concentrated at a single expiry/strike.
- Current implied volatility levels appear reasonable, supporting a preference for strategies that could benefit from potential volatility expansion.
- Brian Freitas recently wrote that the rally in Cosco Shipping Energy Transportation (1138 HK) stock price over the last couple of months may trigger a global index inclusion in May.
- The stock stalled/sold off since the Iran war started, our model identified possible support levels for a tactical entry ahead of potential passive tracker buying on May 29.
- Bullish momentum for this stock will be affected by geopolitical risk in the next few weeks, buying the 17-16 price zone is our target. Higher Close this week = SHORT.
- TCS has logged its highest-ever senior-level attrition since its 2004 IPO: 16% among the top 1,800 leaders, with over 300 VPs and principal consultants departing in 8 months.
- Senior exits don’t just erode headcount. They sever client relationships, disrupt delivery continuity, and hollow out mentoring chains precisely the institutional muscle TCS needs to execute deals in AI-transformation era.
- The question for FY27 is whether TCS can protect delivery execution while simultaneously reinventing its operating model around AI.
- Volatility regimes split: VIX returns to moderate (19.2), VXEEM remains elevated (28.4) — EM risk premium not fully cleared; broad EM FX strength provides partial offset.
- Five of seven markets register Mild Bull scores; Taiwan and South Korea lead, India and China remain laggards on weak absolute positioning.
- Tactical bias is cautiously constructive; key risk is USD reversal unwinding the CNY/KRW/AUD FX tailwind currently supporting multiple market scores.
- Top Taiwan Stock Exchange listed covered call candidates for the month of April.
- The top 7 provide an average ~5.23% premium with a potential ~6.81% upside P&L if exercised.
- Investors with a neutral 1-month view on the underlying can seek to generate income.
