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For several weeks now, Bitcoin has been hitting an invisible wall. After brief moves up to $79,500, BTC’s price consistently falls back below $77,000. Behind this stubborn resistance, on-chain data tells a clear story: organized sellers are slowing every upward move. When will this barrier break? Analysis.
In brief
- Bitcoin struggles at $77,000 despite a peak at $79,500
- 150,000 BTC sent to exchanges by short-term holders since April 15
- Spot volumes at their lowest since September 2023
- Open interest down: 8,000–9,000 BTC of leverage removed in 10 days
- $604 million in liquidations recorded in 24 hours on April 30
Bitcoin under pressure: when short-term holders undermine the rebound
Since April 15, 2026, around 150,000 BTC have been transferred to cryptocurrency exchanges. This movement mainly comes from short-term holders (STH), wallets that have held Bitcoin for less than 155 days. These investors act repeatedly each time Bitcoin rises above $77,000.
The numbers are clear. Over three consecutive sessions, inflows to crypto exchanges reached:
- 65,000 BTC
- 54,600 BTC
- 39,000 BTC
This cascading selling pressure prevents Bitcoin from consolidating above the key $80,000 resistance.
Crypto analyst Darkfost, using CryptoQuant data, highlights this structural weakness. According to him, STHs seize every opportunity to take profits during Bitcoin price increases.
The outcome is mechanical:
- supply floods exchanges
- Bitcoin price stagnates
- buyers step back
For Darkfost, this repeated short-term profit-taking is not a panic signal. Rather, it is a strategy that appears to be weighing heavily on the BTC rally.
Bitcoin and collapsing spot volumes: a market in apathy
Beyond STHs, another signal concerns analysts: collapsing spot volumes. Trading activity has dropped to levels comparable to September 2023, a period marking the end of a long bearish phase. The takeaway: the Bitcoin market is severely lacking liquidity.
Major exchanges are seeing sharp declines:
- Binance has lost around $25 billion in volume in one month
- Gate.io shows a $13 billion drop
- OKX has seen nearly $6 billion in volume disappear
These figures reflect a clear disengagement from short-term investors.
Darkfost summarizes:
This contraction in volume reflects a temporary loss of interest in Bitcoin. But these periods of apathy are often where new opportunities begin to emerge.
This is the paradox of current market sentiment. Falling spot volumes may signal weak momentum, but also a silent accumulation phase before a breakout.
Bitcoin and declining open interest: leverage unwinds
On derivatives markets, the outlook is not more reassuring. Open interest has dropped from over 300,000 BTC to around 292,000 BTC in recent days. Over ten days, between 8,000 and 9,000 BTC in leverage has been removed.
Daily variations remain negative, meaning traders are not aggressively opening new long positions. For Bitcoin to sustainably break above $80,000, fresh capital inflows are needed, not just short liquidations.
Researcher Axel Adler Jr. notes a short-term positive signal: the 7-day liquidation oscillator turned positive, reaching +28.7 on April 30. This indicates more balanced pressure between long and short liquidations.
In 24 hours, total crypto liquidations reached $604 million, highlighting ongoing volatility near this resistance zone. However, the 30-day average remains slightly negative, maintaining a broader bias toward long liquidations.
One thing is certain: Bitcoin is navigating a zone of technical and psychological turbulence. The $77,000–$80,000 range concentrates selling pressure from short-term holders and indifference from institutional buyers. Historically, such compression phases often precede major moves, both upward and downward. The next major Bitcoin trend is forming behind the scenes. Stay tuned.
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My name is Ariela, and I am 31 years old. I have been working in the field of web writing for 7 years now. I only discovered trading and cryptocurrency a few years ago, but it is a universe that greatly interests me. The topics covered on the platform allow me to learn more. A singer in my spare time, I also cultivate a great passion for music and reading (and animals!)
DISCLAIMER
The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.
