It’s a moment for both hope and hesitation: recent victories in Michigan, Colorado, Minnesota, and New York suggest gathering political momentum on the left. Yet a defeat in Wisconsin and a judge’s temporary stay of New York City’s pied-à-terre tax offer reminders that every movement for social progress breeds its own countervailing reaction. But how does that reaction itself build power? The scaffolding for backlash, as the New York City decision suggests, is often found in the legal system.

Steep barriers to court access as well as the formidably technical nature of many legal disputes mean that insiders commonly have the ability not merely to secure the outcomes they want, but also to shape the rules under which notionally fair competition unfolds. This “playing for rules,” rather than for specific results, means that law often offers the inside track for incumbents’ ground-rigging projects.

Across seemingly unrelated legal developments, lawyers and judges have been pursuing such projects of late. Each change is leading to a concentration of power in electoral politics and economic power, in ways that insulate insiders. And the effects accumulate: they feed each other, leading to a vicious circle of increasingly obdurate concentrations of power.

Until Francesca Hong’s defeat this week, it was possible to write off the central organs of the Democratic Party as wholly incapacitated by debt and internal dysfunction under the leadership of Ken Martin’s hapless Democratic National Committee (DNC). Yet the institutional party has lately gained two tools that give it greater leverage, if not to win general elections then at least to police ideological purity at the primary stage.

The first is a newfound power for partisan gerrymandering. This is a gift from our antidemocratic Supreme Court, which has anointed partisan advantage as a justification in mapmaking while dismantling the Voting Rights Act’s protections for minorities. To see the consequences, consider what unfolded earlier this year in California. Responding to Republican gerrymanders in Texas and Florida, Governor Gavin Newsom pushed through a referendum and then a new congressional map. Its lines were drawn by a “veteran Democratic redistricting expert in Sacramento” in “consultation” with the state’s Democratic congressional delegation. In court, the state’s lawyers successfully defended the map on the ground that it protected Democratic insiders’ seats.

However justified California’s response to the Texas and Florida gerrymanders may be as a matter of national politics, it illustrates an unexpected effect of the new partisan gerrymandering: It is inevitably incumbent insiders who draw the maps. Just as they can be expected to draw out their opponents across the aisle, so too they can be expected to hobble challengers from the margin. Gerrymandering does not just make general elections less competitive; it also allows the locking out of challengers at the primary stage.



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